A Simple Approach to the Management of Endowments

A Simple Approach to the Management of Endowments

By Hossein Kazemi & Kathryn Wilkens, CAIA

Endowments and foundations are tax exempt and charitable organizations that rely on permanent pools of capital to fund their activities. These pools of capital are owned by institutions such as colleges, universities, hospitals, museums, scientific organizations, charitable entities, and religious institutions. When well-funded and well-managed, an endowment can provide a permanent annual income to the organization, while maintaining the real value of its assets in perpetuity.

These institutions typically lack the internal expertise to manage their assets. Only the largest endowments and foundations have the resources to build an internal team to manage their assets. Small- and medium-size organizations may choose to outsource the management of their assets. However, whether they are small or large, managing the assets that fund these organizations’ activities costs money.

Of course, there are significant economies of scale in managing assets and for the largest endowments and foundations the ratio of management expenses to total assets is expected to be relatively low. For instance, Harvard Management Company (HMC), which manages Harvard University’s endowment, reported around $200 million in expenses while managing around $35,000 million in assets. This means that Harvard University spends around 0.57% of its endowment to manage its assets. This figure does not include the fees that HMC paid its outside managers, which is not as relevant since the reported returns are net of these fees. The following chart, which is obtained from HMC’s 2016 Annual Report, shows the performance of the fund over that past 1, 5, 10 and 20 years.

endow1

While the endowment has outperformed the basic 60/40 stock/bond portfolio during the past 20 years,it has underperformed this portfolio during the past 1-, 5- and 10-year periods. NACUBO-Common Fund Study of university endowments reports aggregate annual performances of those organization that report to National Association of College and University Business Officers (NACUBO). The following chart displays the annual performance of the largest endowments, median performance of endowments, 60/40 stock/bond ETFs and a multi-asset portfolio of ETFs. We will discuss this “mystery” multi-asset portfolio later.

endow2

We can see that all four indices show remarkable similarities. Interestingly, the median performance of endowments has matched the performance of the largest endowments in recent years. The following table displays the basic statistics:

endow3

The “mystery” multi-asset portfolio consists of ETFs and has provided the same rate of return as the largest endowments with lower volatility since 2000.

Two important points must be raised here. First, notice that while endowment returns are net of asset managers’ fees, they are not net of expenses paid by the endowment to its own staff to oversee the endowment. The ETF portfolios are net of all fees, of course. Second, endowment portfolios contain a significant amount of illiquid assets, which could impose unexpected costs on them. The ETF portfolios consist of the most liquid ETFs.

The above figures raise an obvious question: What is the point of assuming significant illiquidity risk and spending significant amount of resources to manage these pools of assets, when over the past 15 years their performances have matched those that can be earned by simple allocations to ETFs?

The above performance figures report aggregate numbers and there are bound to be some endowments who significantly outperform or underperform the above ETF benchmarks. For example, some endowments may have access to top tier hedge fund, private equity and real asset managers. Of course, not every manager can be top tier. Therefore, the question posed above is more applicable to those organizations that do not have access to these top tier managers. We propose that these smaller endowments will be better off giving up their ‘fancy’ endowment portfolios and just try to replicate the performance of the largest endowments using liquid ETFs. In fact, this is how the multi-asset ETF portfolio was created. That is, we used a set of available ETFs to replicate in real time the performance of an index representing the performance of largest endowments. Only past performances of these endowments were used to construct the replicating ETF portfolio to be held for the next quarter. This means, one can implement this procedure in real time to manage an actual endowment. The procedure requires one to rebalance the portfolio on a quarterly basis. For those who are curious, the following was the tracking portfolio for the first quarter of 2017.

endow4

Going forward, every quarter We will be posting the replicating portfolios in this publication. This paper was written in April, 2017.

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6 Comments

  1. Brad Case
    August 8, 2017 at 8:29 am

    Bravo, Hossein and Kathryn. It would be great if institutional investors–not just endowments and foundations, but pension funds and others as well–would pay closer attention to this kind of simple empirical analysis.
    I will quibble with two points in your article. First, you note that “Harvard University spends around 0.57% of its endowment to manage its assets.” The relevant comparison is not fees as a share of assets under management, but INCREMENTAL fees as a share of INCREMENTAL returns: that is, how much does Harvard pay that’s more than the minimum, and what does it get that’s greater than what it would get if it were paying minimum fees?
    Second, you note that “some endowments may have access to top tier hedge fund, private equity and real asset managers.” This plays into the most damaging behavioral biases: everybody wants to believe that they’re smart enough to know which are the top-tier managers, and that they’re important enough to be “allowed” to invest with those managers. That behavioral bias, after all, is what made Bernie Madoff successful. The empirical truth is that not even the largest, most “sophisticated” institutional investors can predict which managers are going to provide better returns, net of fees AND on a (truly) risk-adjusted basis, nor can the most highly respected investment consultants. If they could do that in hedge funds, private equity, and (private) real estate, then the returns from those investments would be better than the returns from equivalent investments in the public markets, net of fees and on a risk-adjusted basis. But they’re not.
    Thanks.


  2. Jason Kirchhoff
    August 8, 2017 at 8:53 am

    Great article. Do you know how Harvard includes Private Equity returns in their overall time weighted returns? I haven’t seen much written on combining IRRs and time weighted returns.


  3. Hossein
    August 8, 2017 at 5:46 pm

    Brad, Thank you for the comments. Please note that our statement about Harvard Management Company was about the money Harvard spends in running the management company. The reported returns on the endowment are indeed net managers’ fees but they are NOT net of the cost of running the management company. At least, that is the way it appeared to us going through their tax filings.

    Regarding your second point, I have to agree with you. It is difficult to convince a fund that they are not big or sophisticated enough to take advantage of some potential opportunities. On the other hand, we must acknowledge that there are opportunities in some niche corners of the markets that endowments may be able to take advantage of. I am hoping that funds realize that every private fund or illiquid asset is not a source of alpha and that there is only a limited supply of alpha or factor premiums out there.


  4. Hossein
    August 8, 2017 at 6:01 pm

    Jason, there is no way that one could use individual IRRs to calculate the overall rate of return of a portfolio. When overall performance is calculated, one must use aggregate values of the initial NAV, ending NAV and interim cash flows. Handling the interim cash flows is tricky, but one sound approach would be to discount the interim cash flows such that the the present values of the ending NAV and cash flows would equal the initial NAV.


  5. Hashtag Investing
    August 9, 2017 at 7:16 am

    Hi Hossein & Kathryn

    You have an excellent studies about how to approach our EFT portfolios. I think you two are right that re-balancing portfolio in a quarterly basis also improve how I can manage my investments.Thanks!


  6. Tom
    August 11, 2017 at 4:49 pm

    Kathy and Hossein,
    Great to see this! Nicely written with tactical relevance for one starting out, within a foundation or endowment setting. Agree with Brad’s point – and Hossein’s response – that top tier is never a guarantee and even recent-cycle returns are no confirmation that the declared investment strategy is being followed. Performance attribution and appraisal are essential checkpoints in manger selection, retention, termination exercises.

    And for majority of fund stewards there are only three rules:
    Replication, replication, replication….


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