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Using the Variance Risk Premium to Predict Futures Markets

Jul 15th, 2018 | Filed under: Newly Added, Commodities, Hard metals, Risk management, oil, Commodities, Risk Metrics and Measurement, Commodities: Examples, Energy, Risk Management Strategies & Processes, Gold

A new study of volatility in commodity prices indicates that both the total and the decomposed variance risk premiums of at least certain commodities markets contain information with predictive power. The variance risk premium is the pay-off of the synthetic variance swap contract. Specifically, it’s the difference between the floatingRead More