Browsing: Economics

Economics

Can LIBOR Be Replaced?

Feb 12th, 2019 | Filed under: Newly Added, Derivatives, The A.I. Industry, Credit Derivatives, Economics, Macroeconomics, Structured Products, Finance & Economics

Given a long wave of scandals that lasted from 2008 until 2012, most of the derivatives industry, and most of its regulators, have agreed that the London Interbank Offered rate [Libor] ought to be replaced by a more tamper-resistant mechanism. Surely there must be an index that will measure theRead More


Nick Pollard: The View from Mumbai

Jan 21st, 2019 | Filed under: Newly Added, The A.I. Industry, Hedge Funds, The Global Economy & Currencies, Emerging markets, Economics, Macroeconomics

On Jan. 11,  the CFA Society India hosted the 9th Annual India Investment Conference in Mumbai. CAIA was a platinum sponsor of this event.  The theme of this year’s IIC was “investing insights for uncertain times.” Nick Pollard, Managing Director, Asia Pacific at CFA Institute, kicked things off with aRead More


CORPORATE DEBT IN THE CHINESE STOCK MARKET

Jan 17th, 2019 | Filed under: Newly Added, The A.I. Industry, The Global Economy & Currencies, Economics, Frontier markets, Macroeconomics, Finance & Economics

By Nicolas Rabener, CAIA, Factor Research Summary: China exhibits the world’s highest corporate debt as % of GDP However, Chinese stocks are not significantly more levered than U.S. stocks Asset and debt growth has stalled in 2018, likely indicating an economic slowdown INTRODUCTION The McKinsey Global Institute published an influentialRead More


‘Great Moderation?’ Forget about it, says new Fed working paper

Jan 10th, 2019 | Filed under: Newly Added, The A.I. Industry, Financial Economics Theory, The Global Economy & Currencies, Economics, Macroeconomics, Finance & Economics

A new working paper from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago looks at the real risk-free interest rate over the last 30 years, where it has been trending, and why that trend hasn’t had the consequences one might intuitively have predicted. The paper, Accounting for Macro-Finance Trends, is the workRead More


The Wright Stuff

Dec 17th, 2018 | Filed under: Newly Added, What about beta?, The Global Economy & Currencies, Alternative Investments in Context, Economics, Macroeconomics, Allocating to A.I., Finance & Economics

By Bill Kelly, CEO, CAIA Association One hundred and fifteen years ago today two Wrights tried to make it right when it came time to ponder the prospect of flying the friendly skies. On that day in an open field in a place called Kill Devil Hills, the first recorded airplane flight took off and safelyRead More


McKinsey on Asia’s Asset Managers

Dec 16th, 2018 | Filed under: Newly Added, The A.I. Industry, Industry Size & Managers, Asset Managers, Regulatory, Regulatory Environment, The Global Economy & Currencies, Emerging markets, Economics, Allocating to A.I.

Assets under management for Asia’s managers have ballooned in the last 10 years, with an increase on average of 9% annually. Performance has been such as to encourage inflow. A recent study by McKinsey suggests that the “good times” will “keep rolling.” But it also cautions that the opportunities inRead More


FACTOR INVESTING MADE IN CHINA Harvesting Factor Returns in the Middle Kingdom

Dec 13th, 2018 | Filed under: Newly Added, The A.I. Industry, The Global Economy & Currencies, Economics, Macroeconomics, Finance & Economics

By Nicolas Rabener, CAIA, Factor Research Summary: Common equity factors generated attractive risk-adjusted returns in the Chinese stock market Factor performance in China often mirrors global factor performance Indicates common factor drivers that permeate even emerging and isolated markets INTRODUCTION Economic news like changes in GDP growth are frequently usedRead More


A Move from Otherness to Better Global Governance 

Dec 10th, 2018 | Filed under: Newly Added, What about beta?, The Global Economy & Currencies, Economics, Macroeconomics

By Bill Kelly, CEO, CAIA Association The resolution season will soon be upon us. Many will aspire to eat less, exercise more, be better partners or parents, or maybe even sit for the March 2019 CAIA Exam. Resolve doesn’t always make it across the finish line though, even with the very best ofRead More


Distressed Debt: What Happens When the Tree Stops Growing?

Dec 9th, 2018 | Filed under: Newly Added, Hedge Fund Strategies, The A.I. Industry, Hedge Funds, Event-Driven Hedge Funds, The Global Economy & Currencies, Economics, Macro and Managed Futures Funds, Finance & Economics

Distressed debt markets have four themes emerging, according to a new paper issued by the Wells Fargo Investment Institute They are: the consequences of central bank tightenings around the globe; the elevation of debt levels, also something happening globally; the regulatory pressure over non-conforming loans (especially in Europe); and theRead More


Jeff Diehl: The View from SuperReturn Japan, Part I

Dec 4th, 2018 | Filed under: Newly Added, Private Equity, The A.I. Industry, Debt Types of Private Equity, Venture capital, Equity Types of Private Equity, The Global Economy & Currencies, Other Issues in Private Investments, Economics, Private Investments, Frontier markets, Macroeconomics, Finance & Economics

On Wednesday, December 5, in Tokyo, Japan, the SuperReturn Japan 2018 event convenes. CAIA is a sponsor of this event. Jeff Diehl, managing partner at Adams Street Partners, a multi-national investment manager with more than $35 billion in assets under management, is attending. He will participate in a panel WednesdayRead More


Picnicking and Nitpicking  

Nov 19th, 2018 | Filed under: Newly Added, What about beta?, The Global Economy & Currencies, Economics, Finance & Economics

By Bill Kelly, CEO, CAIA Association What is a complex transaction without a battery of lawyers to paper it up. These legal minds are an integral part of most transactions and their presence is mostly felt at the time of deal creation and, maybe even more so, when things go offRead More


Back to the 1980s for future market insights

Sep 6th, 2018 | Filed under: Newly Added, The A.I. Industry, Business News, Economics, Finance & Economics, Other Topics in A.I.

Christina Zhu, of the University of Pennsylvania, in a recent paper, looks at the consequences of Big Data for corporate management. What “Big Data” means depends on who is talking or writing about it. For economists working within the classic microeconomic framework, it means a drastic fall in the cost of acquiring information.Read More


Hedging or Trading? Why Italian Banks Use Derivatives

Aug 23rd, 2018 | Filed under: Newly Added, Derivatives, The A.I. Industry, Risk management, Hedge Funds, Credit Derivatives, The Global Economy & Currencies, Commodities, Economics, Institutional Asset Management, Risk Management Strategies & Processes, Risk Management & Operations

A recent report by the Bank of Italy looks at why the various banks of Italy use derivatives. Specifically, the central bank of that country wanted to know: is it a matter of hedging? Or is it a matter of keeping a proprietary book? Hedge fund managers and other pursuersRead More


Looking at a Continent: Stress-Testing Banks and Insurers

Mar 14th, 2017 | Filed under: Newly Added, The Global Economy & Currencies, Economics, Finance & Economics

The European Central Bank’s financial stability review, published in November 2016, predicts “steady, but modest, euro area economic recovery, despite continued headwinds.” The review is designed to assist Europe’s policy making authorities by providing information about the bank’s microprudential and macroprudential roles, along with the risks and vulnerabilities of theRead More


Stocks after Shocks: Equity Returns in the Face of Monetary Policy

Jul 31st, 2016 | Filed under: Newly Added, Financial Economics Theory, The Global Economy & Currencies, Economics, Finance & Economics

A new paper by two economists affiliated with the Federal Reserve System presents a new measure of the monetary policy exposure of individual stocks. The simplest approach to this task would be to regress individual stock returns around major central bank moves (“shocks”). But that turns out not to beRead More


Cross-Border Insolvencies: Defection Isn’t the Only Problem

Mar 17th, 2016 | Filed under: Newly Added, Business News, Economics, Finance & Economics

A recent paper by Andrew Dawson, a law professor of the University of Miami, looks at the current cross-border insolvency framework from the point of view of the cultural differences that may be expressing themselves through the distinct systems on the opposite sides of many an international border.  His discussionRead More


Could Random Trading Prevent Stock Market Bubbles & Crashes?

Jun 15th, 2014 | Filed under: Alpha Hunters, Alpha Strategies, Economics

Many of recent history¹s most significant market events have manifest in what was (previously) the extreme of the market. These"bubbles" and "crashes" follow power laws, meaning that (in theory) they could reach any size and fundamentally threaten the functionality of the entire financial system. Could random trading be the solution?Read More


Happy 100th Birthday to the U.S. Federal Reserve

Feb 27th, 2013 | Filed under: Economics

Bernanke says: The yield on Fed assets in excess of their funding costs may fall in coming years (reducing profits), but should not fall below zero. Brynjolfsson says: This is insanely hopeful and extremely irresponsible. Read More